July 21, 2017 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Doctor Valentine |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Go Mojave Go |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Blue Jeans N Beer |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Royally Divine |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
The Fourth Estate |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Private Joshua G |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Reckless Ransom |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Anteros |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Heart of Valor |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Robinwood |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Rock Rock Rosie |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
My Snow Shoes |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Cheeky Vimto |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Overthemoonforlexi |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Avoir La Vedette |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Ma Brown |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Star Sizzler |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Clearly Dreamin |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Deedees Risingstar |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mnmsuncorked |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Unbridled Venture |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Royal Mocha |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Celebrity Status |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Battered |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Dance Floor Maniac |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Jackie Blu |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Fat Tire |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
My Expectations |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Holdmegold |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Into N Out Of |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Kera Kera |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Theperfectvow |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Raegen Harper |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Run Some Koppy’s |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Native Princess |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Do It |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
It’s the Swede |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bling Bling Thing |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Valen Forever |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Copper Hill |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Talent Risk |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Venture Road |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Greyjoy |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Cooper Road |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
I’m In |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tobin |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Dreamin My Dream |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Smoky Dreams |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Discreet Invasion |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Shatterenthestars |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Artie’s Rumor |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Caesartheruler |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Lovethatcause |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sho Poke |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mylivingtoy |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Nanosecond |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pat’s Shoes |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Crooked as Can Be |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Scattered Cash |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Best Asset |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
St Albert Abbey |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Incitement |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Beluga Bob |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Suspect a Storm |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Smoking Romance |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Mischievousdennis |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Senor Grits |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Basic Chance |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Tiz Top |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Boalt Hall |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Devine Teaching |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Bogey Queen |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Takeagambleonme |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Night Angel |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cats Honor |
1.80 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
At the Hop |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Jello Shot Jodie |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Laine’s Peach |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miss Hackisac |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.