July 21, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Golden Kantharos |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Maps and Legends |
1.20 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mill Hill Place |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Silent Drifter |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sailer’s Companion |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Jack of Diamonds |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
One Fine Ride |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Twistcat Candy |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Toikin |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Adios Chic |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Naughty Grace |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Hola Princess |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
New York Gem |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ola Yola |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Selfie Day |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Mistiz |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
John’s Approval |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Big Player |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Family Justice |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
One Classy Dude |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fuzzy Irish Rascal |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Visions of You |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Miss Paddy |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Go Cristian Go |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
6 |
Don’t Quit |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Prince Huggins |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Last Kiss |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Got Glee |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dancing Queenie |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Truge |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
She’s Spoiled |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Colorincolonel |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Our Precious |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Southern Sweetness |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Tillie’s Lily |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Money Factor |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Samurai’sfirstlady |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Grand Sofia |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Seminara |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Meant Tobe Mine |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
River Spring |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Take a Stroll |
5.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Krazy Kathy |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Lady Allyn |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Go Gone Gone |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Barroombouncer |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
In Summation Man |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Double Down Drama |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Comic Relief |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Earn the Gold |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Whale and Sail |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
4 |
Lassell |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Conscious Decision |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Schettino |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Thinkinquality |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
El Ciclon |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
My Cowboy |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
9 |
5 |
Two Jacks Wild |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Gaultier (FR) |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Diaz (IRE) |
1.20 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
11 |
6 |
I’m Just Souper |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Little Cristian |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Surprise Wedding |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Battle Tux |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
True Motion |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Balada |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Faith N Hope |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Three Illusions |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Just Before |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Diamond Earring |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Forthefam |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Go Clemen Go |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Perfect State |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Candy Sue |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Mi Warrior |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Engraved |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Classic Charlotte |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Spring Hollow |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Howboutit |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Validity |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Artra by Me |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Simmards Heart |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Jill’s Catch |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.