Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 16, 2017

July 16, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Bad Nana 0.00 1.3 2-1 Scr
5 5 Bourbon Babe 0.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Friendship Ring 0.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Flashy Knickers 0.00 3 6-1
1 1 Summer Is Heaven 0.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Substance 0.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Synthesize 0.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Court Savvy 0.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Ault 0.00 3 6-1
5 5 Night Watchman 0.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Forest Brother 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Deep Freeze 0.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Martini Kid 0.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Lapochka 0.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Bear Skinned 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Bettin’ Aces 0.00 3 6-1
7 7 Titanico 0.00 3 6-1
8 8 Lookingforanewhome 0.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 York Ranger 0.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Virga 0.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Norris Lake 0.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 You Know Jack 0.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Viva Forever 0.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Redwin Romp 0.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Boots Are Made For 0.00 3 6-1
9 9 Dancin Street 0.00 3 6-1
11 11 Lookin Perfect 0.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
1 1 Donnas Sweet Heart 0.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sanity 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Boggie 0.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Katrina’s Way 0.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Hockey Hair 0.00 7.7 15-1
13 13 Miss Mew 0.00 9.4 18-1 Scr
12 12 Beezie 0.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
5 5 Flashinthepants 0.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Lucky Emerald 0.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Beauty Phil 0.00 3 6-1
9 8 Sweet Rhapsody 0.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Lake Marion 0.00 3.9 7-1 Scr
10 9 Miss Bao to U 0.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 My Rosebud 0.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Brews Toonie Toss 0.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Get Saucy 0.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Cry Havoc 0.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Dance On Stage 0.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Fullthrottle Kid 0.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Biloxi Bay 0.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Leonard’s Bay 0.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mick the Conqueror 0.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Canmore 0.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 The Doctor 0.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Cross Border 0.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Lillz Not Crying 0.00 6 11-1
9 9 He’s a Breeze 0.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Silent Treat 0.00 0.9 2-1 Scr
2 2 Chiringuita 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Gliding By 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Conquest City Girl 0.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Industrial Policy 0.00 5.1 10-1
12 11 Chic Thrill 0.00 5.1 10-1
11 10 Generous Touch 0.00 6 11-1
8 7 D’oro Paradise 0.00 6 11-1
10 9 Street Cash 0.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Reserved 0.00 7.3 14-1
13 12 Silver Sidney 0.00 9 17-1
3 3 Reimburse 0.00 9 17-1
5 5 Sparkles’ Girl 0.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Vigil S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Pink Lloyd 0.00 0.9 2-1
1 1 Riker 0.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 We Deer You 0.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Tale of the Nile 0.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Western Elegance 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Great Wide Open (IRE) 0.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Juan Stormy Night 0.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Starinthemaking 0.00 3 6-1
7 7 Above All Odds 0.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Wiarton 0.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Catamount 0.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Fine Grit 0.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Tinker Ring 0.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mc Dreamy 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Milwaukee Saint 0.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Hurricane Bear 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Ami’s Exchange 0.00 3 6-1
8 8 Ringo Classic 0.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Willy’s Castle 0.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Conquest Eliminatr 0.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Tidal Dancer 0.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 The Other Breeze 0.00 6 11-1
9 9 Coleyville 0.00 6 11-1
6 6 Zap Cat 0.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Matthew’s Ridge 0.00 8.6 16-1
14 14 Grand Poobah 0.00 8.6 16-1 Scr
3 3 Stop the Parade 0.00 9 17-1
11 11 Major Eclipse 0.00 9 17-1
13 13 Nurmi 0.00 11.6 22-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.