July 14, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Ola Gatita |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Parting Shot |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Causeway Cutie |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Double Mane |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Only One Wish |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Persky’s Spirit |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Valiant Spirit |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Assertive |
0.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Boule |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Sweet Avery |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Into Summer |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Jaunt |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Game Factor |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Jest a Princess |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Speighgal |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Fifteen Church |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Foreign Affair |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Ransom Kitty |
0.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Equalityforall |
0.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Boom Boom Boom |
0.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Eternal Vow |
0.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Bar of Gold |
0.00 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
2 |
Grand Jete (GB) |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
All in Fun |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Mo Knows |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Annie Rocks |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
3A |
3 |
Welcoming |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7A |
7 |
Dream Prospect |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Global Positioning |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Love That Jazz |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Manipulated |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Buckwellspent |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Saltine Warrior |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Pegasus Red |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Mighty Zealous |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sol the Freud |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Ragazza Di Papa |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Janneydancer |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Mazmania |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Gare de Lyon |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Alyssa and a Lisa |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Refined Lady |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sandy Belle |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Paz the Wine |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Tweet Street |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
High Barbaree |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Sharp Lacey |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Grandpa’s Arianna |
0.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Hay Field |
0.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Shrink |
0.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
That’s Amore |
0.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Subtle Grace |
0.00 |
12.4 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Uncle Sigh |
0.00 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Toohottoevenspeak |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Nobody Move |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Cloud Control |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dr. Shane |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cause for Surprise |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Excluded |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
8 |
Polar Axis |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
D’ Eloquent |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
The Crocheron Kid |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Whatstotalkabout |
0.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Mr. Pete |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Bad Guy |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Unbridled Charge |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Inalienable Rights |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wicked Huntsman |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Howard Beach |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Stolen Pistol |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Thank You So Much |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Raging Fire |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Can’tweallgetalong |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Mr. Hot Rocks |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Engineers Report |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lover’s Leap |
0.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Scientist Kat |
0.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Over Salty |
0.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Flat Out Jayvien |
0.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Lido |
0.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Price too High |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Initiate |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Corporate Queen |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Tamit (IRE) |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Signalpath |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Folk Magic |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Animauxselle |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Warrior Hall |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Two Hot Betty |
0.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Spring for More |
0.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Peaches and Spice |
0.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Kharafa |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mohaymen |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Blacktype (FR) |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Tombelaine |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Inspector Lynley |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lubash |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mr Maybe |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Song for the Soul |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Sapporo |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Zenna |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
16 |
11 |
Fair Regis |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
13 |
10 |
New York Bourbon |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Skyler’s Lil Cutie |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Frost Delay |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Jacqueline D |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Claudia’s Vision |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Catania Rose |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
I’ddrinktoanything |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Negev |
0.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Hip Pop |
0.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Iwishirish |
0.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
B J’s Valentine |
0.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Miracle Dream |
0.00 |
12.4 |
23-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.