July 8, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Master Merion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morocco | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wage Acceleration | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Team | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beltany | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winning Element | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Le Pin (IRE) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Silberado | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Intention | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Newman | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Keep It Up | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Selenite | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 8 | Free N Clear | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonita Springs | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bareeqa | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barrel of Dreams | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Khaleesi Kat | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Mizz | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Weather Girl | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Mags | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Base Command | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roaming Union | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | National Flag | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shangroyal | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Munnys | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snapper Sinclair | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fixedincome Larry | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder’s Honor | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Desert Duchess | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Lillie’s Answer | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Believe Indeed | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Romantic Music | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Flying Point | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Munchkin Money | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | City Section | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Queenofthechannel | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Ten Penny Princess | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Kitty Maddnes | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tiz Twice | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Whatawonderflworld | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Roman Approval | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Sandman | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Mo | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Changewilldoyagood | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Doctor Mounty | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King of New York | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Sycamore Lane | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Arghad | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Indycott | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Freud | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Dwyer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Practical Joke | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battalion Runner | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Silence | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giuseppe the Great | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Timber | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Belmont Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fellowship | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mind Your Biscuits | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Slew | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unified | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tommy Macho | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stallwalkin’ Dude | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Green Gratto | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Belmont Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Sistercharlie (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Daddys Lil Darling | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fifty Five | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Grizzel (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Key To My Heart (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uni (GB) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Journey Home | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New Money Honey | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coasted | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dynatail | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violet Blue | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Suburban H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Shaman Ghost | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Follow Me Crev | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keen Ice | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matt King Coal | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Watershed | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Ridge | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Belmont Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oscar Performance | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arklow | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Homesman | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Score | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yoshida (JPN) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ticonderoga | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whitecliffsofdover | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Senior Investment | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Samaritan | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Called To The Bar (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Makarios | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Big Exchange | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Ready | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Swing | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | They Shot Sonny | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smarter | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan’s Hunch | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crime Lab | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Wingman | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pollock | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shidoshi | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Markitoff | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.