July 7, 2017 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Colonel Cody |
1.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Drinkin’ Song |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
D Day Dude |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Big Guy Lil Coat |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
K Kiddo |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Warlander |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Taste Bud |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
White Pass |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Holy Marie |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Danica To |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rock Rock Rosie |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Younosaythat |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Visions of Sugar |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Takeagambleonme |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Today’s Talk |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Pinnacle Peak |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Pasamonte |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Talent Risk |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Paddy Party |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Burning Money |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Venture Road |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
I’m In |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Feted |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Queen Kate |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Foreststone |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
American Holiday |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Superduperjustice |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Smoke Out |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Seams Discreet |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Chilean Queen |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Rich Uncle |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
One Minute |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Cherokee Charlie |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Major Mingo |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Aced My Finals |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Canveralsbetrloud |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Kalebs Mine |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bid’s Edge |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Caydees Hero |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ladys Last |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mide |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Mucho Macho Dan |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Whiskey Tree |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Hall of Fame |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Wicked Wink |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Frankalee Fun |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rojac |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Outrun the Posse |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Titanium |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kera Kera |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Steel Cut |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Peppy Miller |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Girl Power |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Strive |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Foxy Fleda |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Iowa Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Brooklynsway |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mywomanfromtokyo |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Divine Dutchess |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Divine Elegance |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Cleverness |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Walkabout |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ruby Sioux |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Danzatrice |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Iowa Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Petrov |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Silver Dust |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Balandeen |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Thirstforlife |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Impressive Edge |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jerrid |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Hence |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
McCormick |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Line Judge |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Free of Burden |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Langstars Charmer |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Native Wonder |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
P J’s Memories |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Jafmil’s Inferno |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Helen Kopter |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Trolley |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Emmy Got Even |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Do It Like Kela |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.