July 4, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hold That Kitten | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Two | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Break Away | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Regal Light | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cunningham Creek | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautyofaday | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Legendofthekitten | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Parcela | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aly Cruise | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Mama Lady | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dudette | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yo No Fui | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Slew | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naughty Grace | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Poopsie Doopsie | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Bow No Move | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Personal Princess | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fend for Yourself | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Martha Washington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Helen Virginia | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Dude Fantasy | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bitacora | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Art Institute | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adorable Miss | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Kitten | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Harmony | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Katinka | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Who’s Your Drama | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dream Shot | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toast the Kitten | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Thornton | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Racings My Game | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Modern Tale | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Kitten | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love Conquers | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Schettino | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cut to Order | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Metaphorically | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Perfect Tay | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Given | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jojo’s Dream | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chepstow | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Lassell | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Favorite Heir | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gaultier (FR) | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good and Proper | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mizzentown | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Man | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mexican Lucky | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | John’s Approval | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sophistication | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Spade | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | G T’s Graemie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dino Dude | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rollin | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Art Bijou (ARG) | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Browns Gap | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leverkusen | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madroos | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sambrook Edge | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bitomagic | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fletcher Is Golden | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Inka | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky’s Tune | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Woodburn | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Erich’s Talisman | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mass Approval | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gold Shark | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Insum Money | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Equity | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Mint | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Players Luck | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Dattts Arties Boy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thanks God | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minute Madness | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lion Heart Legend | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Wigglin Jack | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Mbrace Grace | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tamper | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stormin Charlotte | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Weekend Appeal | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zubi Zubi Zu | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Astray | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Viva Bertha | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vinyardnina | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause for Victory | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hiram’s Mistress | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justadarling | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starshiner | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lapantalones Fance | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Visconti | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Not Surprising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Basha | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Squadron | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Erasmo’s Dream | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coleman Rocky | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s the One | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bronson | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aberdeen Way | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | General McGooby | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gemologister | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marco Mischief | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Omened By | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 11 | Only in America | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Capital City | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Mal Guapo | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Turncoat | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magnanimous Mine | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Big Silver Hoss | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sioux | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Inavanti | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gotsomemojo | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Phil’sfirstfactum | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Hy Quality Prince | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Kitten | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Morichal | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Cold Blood | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | China Prince | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.