Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 2, 2017

July 2, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Just Got Out 0.00 1.3 2-1
6 5 La Inesperada 0.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Kate Is a Ten 0.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Doinwhatshelikes 0.00 3 6-1
3 3 Maddizaskar 0.00 3.4 6-1 Scr
1 1 Ice Palace 0.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Posse Needed 0.00 1.7 3-1 Scr
2 1 Defrock 0.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Resonate 0.00 3 6-1
3 2 Soar Once More 0.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Complicit 0.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Mizzencat 0.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Misericordia (GB) 0.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Silver Shaker 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Red Curls 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Little Miss Julia 0.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Zeven 0.00 1.7 3-1 Scr
1 1 Causeway Cutie 0.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Loyal Heart 0.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Perina’s Pride 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Megan’s Muse 0.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Splash of Sass 0.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Pulling G’s 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Big Rock 0.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Spring to the Sky 0.00 3 6-1
2 2 Dowse’s Beach 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Choctaw Chuck 0.00 3 6-1
1 1 Do Share 0.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Walk and Talk 0.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Panama Ed 0.00 1.7 3-1 Scr
12 12 Badaboom 0.00 3 6-1 Scr
9 8 Joe’s Smokin Gun 0.00 3 6-1
6 6 Therapist 0.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Fun Prospect 0.00 4.7 9-1
11 10 No Worries Mate 0.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Lutheran Rags 0.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Nine Route 0.00 6 11-1
1 1 English Channical 0.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Sidd Finch 0.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Disco Outlaw 0.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Bust Another 0.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Bustin It 0.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Spooked Out 0.00 3 6-1
5 5 Nobody Move 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 True Bet 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bluegrass Prevails 0.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Neoclassic 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Divine Oath 0.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Il Segreto (FR) 0.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Midnight Notes 0.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Inventor’s Gate 0.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 War Bond 0.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Unbridled Ocean 0.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
2 2 Prophet’s Cat 0.00 6 11-1 Scr
6 5 Natural Order 0.00 6 11-1
7 6 Uno Emayo 0.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Memories of Peter 0.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Tathqeef 0.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Tobias 0.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Rocketry 0.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Cruz Diez 0.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 G Zap 0.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 To Your Health 0.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Gauguin (GER) 0.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Saginaw S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Governor Malibu 0.00 2.1 4-1 Scr
5 5 Samraat 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Diversify 0.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Inside Straight 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Fox Rules 0.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Hit It Once More 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Gypsum Johnny 0.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Papa Shot 0.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Rate for Me 0.00 2.6 5-1
14 14 Exclusive Package 0.00 2.6 5-1 Scr
1 4 Rarest Quality 0.00 3 6-1
2 1 Polar City 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Mr. Euro 0.00 4.7 9-1
13 10 Cookie Crisp 0.00 6 11-1
15A 15 Smarter 0.00 7.3 14-1
16 16 Phi Beta Express 0.00 7.7 15-1
6A 6 Townie 0.00 8.1 15-1
10 7 Sethary 0.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Z Town 0.00 8.6 16-1 Scr
8 6 Thorn Hill Cat 0.00 9 17-1
7 5 Madeyourpoint 0.00 9.4 18-1
12 9 Love Your Buttons 0.00 9.9 19-1
11 8 Shamrocked 0.00 12.4 23-1
5 5 Dream Player 0.00 13.3 25-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.