July 1, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Tiz All Behind Us |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
My Aunt Lilly |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Little Sister |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Lady Brevet |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Offlee Optimistic |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
River Miss |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
High Math |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Danceforthedevil |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Lil Miss Hotshot |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
La Camedor |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tex Mee a Kiss |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kissesrgettnlouder |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Friesani |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Kelly and Kiley |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Freezing Fast |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Postino’s Champion |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Feeling Super |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Elijah’s Party |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Rhythm and Moves |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Worthwhile |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Such Spirit |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Layla’s Voyage |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Hello Moon |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Savannah’s Dream |
8.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lemon Patch |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
El Mundo |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Tommy’s Top Cat |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
I Ain’t Kitten |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Cape May Ferry |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Big Lie |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Trappezio |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Staynsidethecircle |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Victorious Venture |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Prep Pride |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Wizard of Odds |
4.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Southerncommission |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Magnolia Mountain |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Upper Room |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Run for James |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
El Dulzura |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Thirst for Victory |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Invasors Wind |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Tuffgirlsdontcry |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Cross the Desert |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Liam’s World |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Station Wagon |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Discovery Bay |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Richie’s Lady |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Fandanga |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Miss Al Dila |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Quick Thinking |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Scratch N Claw |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Weekend Babe |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
12 |
9 |
J W Goingtothebank |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Wild Willy Dean |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Sunshine Mark |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
1 |
Clear Prosperity |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
2 |
The Gemini Man |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
4 |
Repentant |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
3 |
Refuseing |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1A |
5 |
Roosevelt Lane |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
True Boldness |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Diadura |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Judy’s Chance |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Trusty Roll |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Freudie Anne |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Sassy Little Cat |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Forest Funds |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Untouchable U |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Red River Heidi |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Queena Esther |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hold Me Down |
6.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Dixie |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sir Sidney |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Chilham Court |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Chasing Twilight |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Broad Lover |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Barlovento Tiger |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Demand |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Blitzensmajikreign |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Nick’s Posse |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Forgotten Knot |
15.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
My Son Ernie |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Forest Friends |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.