Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 1, 2017

July 1, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Long Night 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Enasoit 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Chapin 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Champagne Papi 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Love and Care 3.50 5 9-1
6 6 Ollysilverexpress 30.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Lordcommandersnow 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Chichmeister 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Great Blake 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Get Game 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Jewel Can Disco 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Jazz Loverman 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Quai Voltaire 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 I Miss My Father 12.00 6 11-1 Scr
7 6 Prince Reigner 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Makealittlelove 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Treatherlikestar 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 May Flowers 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Freudee 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Queen of Spades 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Nile Princess 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Short Kakes 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Jazzy Juder 4.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Daring Prospect 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Can’tcatchtheraxx 10.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Deuces High 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Wine Not 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Core Portfolio 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Zabaione 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Beyond the Green 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Jet Black 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 West Hills Giant 5.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 8 Goodbye Brockley 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Quietly Quick 5.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
5 4 Wanda Fay 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Imperfect Union 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Spa Angel 6.00 5 9-1
7 6 Blue Atlas 3.50 5.8 11-1
2 1 Frosty Wolf 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 2 Dreams Are Pazible 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Northernstreetgal 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Ogan’s Runner 20.00 10 19-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Deltalina 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Crazy About Jazz 3.50 2.3 4-1
10 7 Mojo’s Queen 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Sisella 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Lulu’s Blues 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Put On a Show 20.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
2 2 Veil Dance 8.00 7.5 14-1
11 8 Wantagh Queen 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Asian’s Way 2.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
6 5 Laura’s Patriot 10.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Easy Way Out 6.00 9.5 18-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Perfect Sting S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Outsider Art 20.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Rattataptap 15.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
9 8 Conquest Babayaga 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 My Sweet Girl 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Off Limits (IRE) 4.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Ancient Secret 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Ancient Goddess (FR) 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 On Leave 2.50 7 13-1
4 4 Ultimate Holiday 8.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Wicked Macho 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Duquesne Whistle 3.00 2 4-1
1A 4 Cerretalto 3.50 3 6-1
1 4 Gorelli 3.50 4 8-1 Scr
2 1 Hamptons Holiday 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Saratoga Charlie 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Benevolence 4.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Formal Start 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Gaming 15.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Mother Goose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Unchained Melody 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Lockdown 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Moana 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lights of Medina 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 My Miss Tapit 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Vexatious 2.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Spanish Harlem 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Conquest See Ya 4.00 1.5 3-1 Scr
7 6 Theycallhimthekid 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 1 Zandar 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 3 Stormin Stephen 15.00 4 8-1
6 5 Lone Trader 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Man of Wiregrass 15.00 6.5 12-1
1A 6 Fortuitous Path 15.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
3 2 Spectrolite 8.00 8 15-1
9 8 Snake Oil Charlie 30.00 8.8 17-1
10 9 Monte Man 10.00 9 17-1
5 4 Smokey Brown 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.