July 1, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Long Night |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Enasoit |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Chapin |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Champagne Papi |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Love and Care |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ollysilverexpress |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lordcommandersnow |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Chichmeister |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Great Blake |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Get Game |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Jewel Can Disco |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jazz Loverman |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Quai Voltaire |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
I Miss My Father |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Prince Reigner |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Makealittlelove |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Treatherlikestar |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
May Flowers |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Freudee |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Queen of Spades |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Nile Princess |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Short Kakes |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Jazzy Juder |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Daring Prospect |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Can’tcatchtheraxx |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Deuces High |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Wine Not |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Core Portfolio |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Zabaione |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Beyond the Green |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Jet Black |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
West Hills Giant |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Goodbye Brockley |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Quietly Quick |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Wanda Fay |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Imperfect Union |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Spa Angel |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Blue Atlas |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Frosty Wolf |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Dreams Are Pazible |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Northernstreetgal |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ogan’s Runner |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Deltalina |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Crazy About Jazz |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Mojo’s Queen |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Sisella |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lulu’s Blues |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Put On a Show |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Veil Dance |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
8 |
Wantagh Queen |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Asian’s Way |
2.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Laura’s Patriot |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Easy Way Out |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Perfect Sting S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Outsider Art |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rattataptap |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Conquest Babayaga |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
My Sweet Girl |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Off Limits (IRE) |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Ancient Secret |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Ancient Goddess (FR) |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
On Leave |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ultimate Holiday |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Wicked Macho |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Duquesne Whistle |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1A |
4 |
Cerretalto |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
4 |
Gorelli |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Hamptons Holiday |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Saratoga Charlie |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Benevolence |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Formal Start |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Gaming |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Mother Goose S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Unchained Melody |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lockdown |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Moana |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lights of Medina |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
My Miss Tapit |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Vexatious |
2.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Spanish Harlem |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Conquest See Ya |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Theycallhimthekid |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Zandar |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
3 |
Stormin Stephen |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Lone Trader |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Man of Wiregrass |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1A |
6 |
Fortuitous Path |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Spectrolite |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Snake Oil Charlie |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Monte Man |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Smokey Brown |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.