June 30, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Straightaway May |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Read My Lips |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Thirsty Actor |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
First in Class |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hartack Jr |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dublin Express |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Skyline Drive |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
War Canoe |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Little Miss Amy |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Patience Love |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Eighth Commandment |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Empty House |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Talkn Til Midnight |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Stormy Alexis (IRE) |
1.40 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Vortex Road |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Lightning Dove |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Vasilika |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Woundwithhereyes |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Courtly Kitty |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Wonderful Savvy |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Chorite |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Unbridledadventure |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Gobi |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Forres Lily |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Play Big |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Fielding Gold |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Heliodoro |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Going Strong |
1.40 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sir Maurice |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tree Shaker |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Subic Bay |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dovecote |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Angels Seven (IRE) |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Double Cast |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Homeland Security |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Furtive Glance |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Collections Choice |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Aoife |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Joyful Holiday |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Itsinthestars |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pinchbeck |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Questeq |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Lem Me Dance |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Shimmering Moon |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Alabama Bound |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Baronet |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Out of Trouble |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Belle of the Spa |
3.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Puparee |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Forever for Always |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Three Eighty Eight |
2.50 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Votre Coeur |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Preziosa |
8.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Peaches and Spice |
50.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Mo Promise |
12.00 |
14.5 |
27-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Stormy’s Song |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Divine Miss Grey |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dancing All Night |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Felini |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Nocturnal Mission |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Smile Big |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Time Squared |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Tasit |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Abiding Star |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Montclair (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Eirigh |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
King of New York |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Infinite Wisdom |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Soluble (GER) |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Converge |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Call Provision |
3.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Gio’s Calling |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Hello Don Julio |
3.50 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Miko |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Rain in Spain |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Final Flurry |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Submit |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Bitterroot |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Lion in Wait |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bay City Blues |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sunday Gravy |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Pinchpenny |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Brainchild |
10.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Grevillea |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Shy |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
French Dressing |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Mama’s Red Hat |
30.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.