Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 11, 2017

June 11, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Silly Factor 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Five Hearts 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Miss Aja Brown 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Barrier to Entry 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 She’s Stunning 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Another Genius 3.50 5.3 10-1 Scr
2 2 Esther the Queen 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Moondance Joy 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Vicki’s Dancer 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Bileaps and Bounds 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 E Warfare 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Champagne Ruby 3.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Non Finisce Mai 4.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 My Impression 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Desiree Clary (GER) 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Wekeela (FR) 0.60 3.3 6-1
4 4 Mo Knows 10.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
6 5 Annie Rocks 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Evidently 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Non Stop 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 W. Giles 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Day of Fury 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Tasunke Witco 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 4 Risetotheoccasion 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Big Guy Ian 3.00 5 9-1 Scr
7 6 Evolution 5.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Veil 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Time to Flirt 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Jonquil 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Ransom Kitty 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 True Love Is Yare 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Holiday Hopes 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Emerald Quality 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 More Than a Legend 5.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 French Dressing 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Nevisian Sky 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Animal Posse 1.40 2.5 5-1
9 9 Jo’s Bold Cat 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Bookew Bucks 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Manifest Destiny 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Cody’s Notes 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 One Eyed Ray 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Freedom Seven 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 River Knight 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Fayeq 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Rough Sea 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Your Secret’s Safe 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Winning Element 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Brooklyn Bobby 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Clear N Convincing 3.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Uncle Mojo 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 11 Uncle Sigh 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Memories of Peter 8.00 3.3 6-1
14 14 Deuces High 6.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
5 5 Cloud Control 12.00 5.5 10-1
15 15 Wine Not 8.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
6 6 Brimstone 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Orino 6.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Black Tide 5.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Startup Nation 1.60 8.5 16-1
12 12 Glowing Ember 30.00 10 19-1 Scr
3 3 Dot Matrix 15.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 Chasintheblues 20.00 12.5 24-1 Scr
16 16 Becker’s Galaxy 2.50 12.8 24-1 Scr
8 8 Rooftop View 30.00 13.5 26-1
1 1 Rapt 20.00 13.5 26-1
9 9 Uno Emayo 20.00 14.5 27-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Jersey Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Pretty City Dancer 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Cajun Delta Dawn 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sadie Be Good 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Chalon 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Golden Mischief 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Vertical Oak 1.60 5.5 10-1 Scr
2 2 Yorkiepoo Princess 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Brooklyn Speights 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Gucci Factor 1.40 1.8 3-1 Scr
2 2 Colonel Andy 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Act Surprised 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Dublin Leprechaun 30.00 5 9-1
1 1 Outrageous Bet 6.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Psychic Energy 2.50 7.3 14-1
6 6 Source Control 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Legendary Humor 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Beneficial Risk 30.00 10 19-1
12 12 Wintry 12.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
7 7 Oh So Sinister 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.