June 10, 2017 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Juliet Foxtrot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scatmeifucan | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Leanne N Susan | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bill’s Wealthygirl | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Starship Aquarius | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greely’s Striker | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Coco | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Bootsy Too | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heir Apparent | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tessa’s Treat | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Mystery | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sky Princess | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Star Quality | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | American Sparrow | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Harangue | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Unstabled | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver G T O | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Providence | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magician Man | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Woodmans Luck | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Financial Modeling | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Treasury Bill | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidon’s Way | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | California Coast | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Tripp | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Youngest Daughter | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dontmesswithjoanne | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valentine Rosie | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maximus Beauty | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crimson Frost | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fault | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentle Kitten | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Egg Roll | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bernadreamy | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Cash In | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Naples Princess | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Five Star Factor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cara Blythe | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | No More Babies | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s Taken | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Troublesome | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Jersey Heist | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Northwest Bourbon | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pauline Revere | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Asticou Trail | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bourgeois | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | La Sola Ranger | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Malibu Style | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Looks Super | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Auntie’s the One | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gulf View | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Union Way | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | House On the Hill | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’s Alotta Woman | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Uncle Walter | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Multiple | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Dark Arden | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beltway | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Running Back | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold the Door | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gridiron Cat | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arch Revenge | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Oso Ready | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Beachtown Benny | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tour de Force | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s d’Etat | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bitumen | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Society Beau | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Whateverybodywants | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Our Track | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Archanova | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pinson | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tarpys Zapper | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Task Force Glory | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Old Forester Mint Julep H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Linda | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Believe in Bertie | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lots o’ Lex | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dona Bruja (ARG) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sky My Sky | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Angel | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Dynazar | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Sales Call | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Tell Brandi | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Paola | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jill’s Firebird | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Brit | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Diamonds At Dawn | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Juja Run | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Fox | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frigidish | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get the Girls Out | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Thunder | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Klassie Connect | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.