June 4, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Jemmabelle |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Spun Copper |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sweetrayofsunshine |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Making Havoc |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lady Luciano |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Over My Head |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Madame Ambassador |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Grande Beso |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
On Time Arrival |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pana Elianne |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Prima Attrice |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
McSweetie |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
That Warrior Girl |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Freckle de Freck |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Siding Spring |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tombelaine |
1.20 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Dowse’s Beach |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Vision Perfect |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Voluntario |
2.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Jan’s Reserve |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Gypsum Johnny |
1.60 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Rare Gem |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Epic Lady |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Desirous |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Fiscal Discipline |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Rain in Spain |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Lion in Wait |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Jeanne’s Speight |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cleo |
3.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Sunday Gravy |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Lifelong Dreamer |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Play Big |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Southern Gentleman |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Condo King |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tottie Royer |
50.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
No Entiendo |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Spotty Zealous |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
American Pioneer |
3.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Thirsty Donnerstag |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Honorable Jonas |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Open Bar |
6.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Posse Needed |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Silencer |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Dancing All Night |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Defrock |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Presumptuous |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bay City Blues |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Maddy’s Way |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
I Get Smooth |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
5 |
Asphalt Paving |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Town Classic |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1A |
8 |
Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Noble and True |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Luminary Flight |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Cournoyer |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Sammy Wonder Stone |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Cinderela El Crome |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Amazing Anne |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Tizzelle |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Tiz a Kitten |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Alabama Bound |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Table for Six |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Pinchbeck |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
About That Base |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Eighth Commandment |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Queen of Castle |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Belle of the Spa |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Cha Cha Heels |
10.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Saratiago |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Pimm’s Cup |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Filius Scat |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Zaguri |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Source Control |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Martino |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
The Podiatrist |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Girolira |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Rossie Val |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lemon Stripes |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Skeet Shot |
3.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Dublin Express |
50.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Spicy Sider |
30.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.