Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 21, 2017

May 21, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Britannia Penny 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Rebel Lioness 20.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Letter Fly 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Another Girl 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Woven Lady 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Geocentric 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 No Soup for You 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Iron Shore 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Concorso 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Butilovesyababe 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bettin’ Aces 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 York Ranger 2.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Rebel Music 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Lookingforanewhome 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Red Fever 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Spadina Road 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Cummings Road 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ultraflame 2.00 4 8-1
6 6 Ethanol 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Malbec 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Dash of Dazzle 8.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Jovial Jess 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Lewnskyswildaffair 15.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
9 9 Canada Wise Don 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Mojo Rising 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Soul n’ Spirit 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Big Gillette 2.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Direct Drive 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Showing Sin 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 R Quick Arch 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Best Boy 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Royal Katy 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Hockey Hair 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Monadesanimaux 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Katrina’s Way 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Klassy Delight 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Lady Frances 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Office in the Sky 4.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Sammy Jo Blue 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Lady Violet M 6.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Greek Justice 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lady Marchfield 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Brew by You 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Crumlin Queen 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Sing to Run 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sam’s Cross 4.00 6 11-1
9 8 Triple Chocolate 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Kadley 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Conflation 20.00 9 17-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 8 Bear’s Profit 4.50 2.3 4-1
11 7 Synthesize 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Arpista 12.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
4 4 Battleofburlington 5.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
2 1 Roxy’s Vision 4.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Uncatchable Fire 20.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
14 9 Fortis 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 6 Timingiseverything 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 4 Chill 15.00 9 17-1
3 3 Street Gun 6.00 9.5 18-1 Scr
12 12 No Risk No Reward 20.00 10.5 20-1 Scr
5 2 Ault 10.00 11.5 22-1
8 5 Forest Brother 20.00 12.3 23-1
6 3 Dexter Road 15.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Selene S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Enstone 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Grizzel (IRE) 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Cindervella 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Sister Nation 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Financial Recovery 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Silhouette 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Ghostly Presence 6.00 7 13-1
5 5 Superduper Sky 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Gale Force 5.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Addictive 15.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 5 Kasuga 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 4 Skylander Girl 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Silent Treat 12.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
6 3 Salty Breeze 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 D’oro Paradise 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Run to the Beat 4.00 6 11-1 Scr
3 2 London Tower 12.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Street Cash 8.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
7 7 Industrial Policy 10.00 8.3 16-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Butler’s Pick 4.00 2 4-1
3 2 Daily Brew 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Forest Castle 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Fritzie’s Boy 10.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Blow Over 20.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
2 2 Boys Club 20.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
6 5 Crushin It 3.00 7 13-1
8 7 Incredible Dee 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 3 Amberwood 6.00 9 17-1
10 9 Splash With Me 20.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Ihaveabetteridea 12.00 9.5 18-1
12 11 Rocket Plan 10.00 10.8 20-1
11 10 The Accuser 12.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.