May 21, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kiss Limit | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Causeway | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accelerant | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Press Baron (GB) | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Dave | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wheresthemoneyjack | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz No Bluff | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberation | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Chrome | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Make It a Triple | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Y’s Passion | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Remembering | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tizcool | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Quality | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Bailee | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Utana | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apphia | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Haveiture Way | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Chick Rocks | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Ruler | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cioppino Pasadino | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Cali | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merrily Merrily | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tangled Up in Ju | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Bellamy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go for Bear | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Californiasummer | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candee Topper | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Powder | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tenthousandreasons | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lemon Ridge | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Crystal | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McKenzie Honey | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Force (GER) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saburai | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zaffinah (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiburtina (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Looking At Thelake | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Coco | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Demigoddess | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tap On a Star | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runnin for Tuition | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Mischief | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Swirls | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Kitty | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Settle Down Eileen | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spinyatta | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Colonist | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stringent | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kristo | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Got Even | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Soi Phet | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Madiba | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Candy Promises | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fran’s Valentine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Heat | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ticaboo | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roo’s Valentine | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Notch | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Desert Steel | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Shehastheritestuff | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cheekaboo | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smoove It | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moonless Sky | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.