May 21, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Breeze Burner | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coors Lute | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valhalla | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Jersey John | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Syndicate | 1.40 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honorable Jonas | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Comet Sixty Two | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speak Up Sailor | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truth in the Lies | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Literata | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Game Girl | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bargaining Table | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Inesperada | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bustin the Bank | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ackeret | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Driving Me Crazy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Draxhall Woods | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Puppy Manners | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Knight | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Lotto | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Wanna Be Regal | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | This Bird Can Sing | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Burkey’s Babe | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Majestic Mac | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sapporo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Rubicon | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tough Old Bird | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Easy Way Out | 1.20 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wild With Style | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Desert Duchess | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Believe Indeed | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Lady | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baronet | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Penny Princess | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Two Hot Benny | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ninety One Assault | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn Bobby | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desperado | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Now in a Drive | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | White Flag | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Focus Group | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cerise’s Prince | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring On Curlin | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flyoff | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crime Lab | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cookie Crisp | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Admirals Cove | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aussie Prayer | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Epping Forest | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paz the Bourbon | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | E Warfare | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slam Chowder | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barrier to Entry | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Mizz | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Startwithsilver | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | T R Crew | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Nigel’s Destiny | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Bealestreet Dancer | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rappel | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pagliacci | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Monaco | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Freud | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Three Perfections | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Battle Midway | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bibbo | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cloontia | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | County Club | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s World | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Tough Angel | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Kid | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Citizen by Day | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Point | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Viserion | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jeanne’s Speight | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emerald Quality | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Too Much Malibu | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get the Jewels | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.