May 20, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Crystal Water S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smokey Image | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pee Wee Reese | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a View | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Burnaroundtheedges | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Grazen Sky | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Drizzy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Praise | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Masco Yodeler | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caseintime | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Kaos | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Pegasus | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rocky Rogue | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Calimonco Flyer | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | King Eddie | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dicky Derby | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Desert General | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Tiz No Bluff | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Gentrified | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The All Button | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excavation | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Night’s Watch | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Small Town Hero | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dahlia Azul | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Rules You | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anita G. | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Be Around | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zanab | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Munny Spunt | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yavrig | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Kay | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Connie | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scandal | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Causeforcommotion | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Lilly | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Creme de La | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halo Ahead | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oh Scatty Oh | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Thought | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Audubon | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | My Special Image | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cornelius | 50.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Red Carpet Cat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | T’s Place | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zachian | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoppitty | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Julia’s Summer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rick’s Dream | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rockin My Mojo | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Path of David | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s The Ice (GB) | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malko (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Super | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | French Getaway | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Klondike Creek | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On Draft | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Scotty | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | West Coast | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Italian Babbo | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General Ike | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uninvited | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hero Ten All | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Charming | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Mystery | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Kona Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kentuckian | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Simba | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kobe’s Back | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moe Candy | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Dr. Dorr | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Ransom the Moon | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calculator | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eastwood | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Touched by Autism | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sir Studleigh | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | E Bradley Cooper | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | For the Hustle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Rex Maximus | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lovely Anzi | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cayate | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Watered Down | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tony Blackjack | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flash Henry | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suances Gold | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dreamin’ of Blaze | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Wood Machine | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Atomic Rule | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cardiac | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Big Bane Theory | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Runasaurus Rex | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Crown the Kitten | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bronzino (FR) | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Guggenheim | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Freddies Dream | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Logan’s Moon | 0.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Oso | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.