May 20, 2017 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Junkers |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Nan’s Pierce Arrow |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Waco Bodene |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cooper Road |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tobin |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Double A |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Appealing Lady |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
8 |
5 |
Kristella |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Our Addi Belle |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Facets of Ice |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Nieta |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Herowinsthespoils |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Bittersweet |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Kitava |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Lineup for Kisses |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Castletown |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Copper Hill |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Predator Drone |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Black Tie |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
The Fourth Estate |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Royal Lion |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Command a Bull |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Spring to the Wire |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Exemplar |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Matchlock |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Port Aggregate |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Gospel Abe |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bellarmine |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Rising Giant |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Kill Shot |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Montezuma Express |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Just Economics |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lively’s Last Ride |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Doctor Valentine |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tamait (FR) |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
No Supervision |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Scrutinizer |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Xavier Davey |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
No Holds Barred |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cornfed |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Flashy Em |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rootie Tourtie |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
American Holiday |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Honolulu |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Besttizyet |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Schuyler Warrior |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Snicker Jo |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Bet On Bettye |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Miss Azul |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – John Wayne S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
One Fine Dream |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dixie Surge |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bombmarito |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Net Gain |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Shock Hazard |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Itsallaboutyou |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
You Funny Man |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Choteau |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Songatmidnight |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Battle Queen |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
My Sister Madi |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Missguts Has Speed |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Faye Runaway |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Shesaliljokester |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Lovesmeback |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.