May 20, 2017 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Monkey’s Medal |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ghost Bay |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Connemara Coast |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kaitain |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Spring Quality |
1.80 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ore Pass |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cause He’s Western |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Shan Dian Kia |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Keep Talking |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1A |
7 |
Flight Crew |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
11 |
Best Yes |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Grey Fox |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
5 |
Ruth Less Blue |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Commend |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Concordia’s Way |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Tempt Me Twice |
10.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Lime House Louie |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Nice Tune |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Seeing’n’believing |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
William’sluckygray |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Issheit |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tattersail |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Cursive |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Moral High Ground |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Desert Princess |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Flight Pattern |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Balabusta |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Jamminwithbrandon |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dharmaster |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Confederate |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tipu Run |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mr. Dougie Fresh |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Super Dude |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Stay Home |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Nite Delite |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Pretty Perfection |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Everything Lovely |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Most Beautiful (GB) |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Eila |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Euroboss |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Elusive Joni |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Animal Appeal |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Sunnysammi |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
J La Tache |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Royal Renege |
15.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Here’s Johnny |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
My Giant |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Jose Sea View |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Racetrack Romance |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Boppin Anda Weavin |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
North Ocean |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
10 |
Awesome Bill |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Coturnix |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
I’m Da Big Man |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
15 |
12 |
Barney Rebel (IRE) |
4.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
14 |
11 |
Stone Crazy |
10.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Last Confession |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
All for Peace |
50.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Wildcatpleasures |
15.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Pleiadian |
15.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Chick Lang S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Three Rules |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Recruiting Ready |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Proforma |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Aquamarine |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Liar’s Dice |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Even Thunder |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Theory |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Always a Suspect |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Bobby Abu Dhabi |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – James W. Murphy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Cool Arrow |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Adonis Creed |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Berks County |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Conquest Bandit |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Yoshida (JPN) |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Undulated |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Caribou Club |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bird’s Eye View |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dover Cliffs |
2.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Cheyenne’s Colonel |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Chubby Star |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mo Maverick |
10.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Total Tap |
12.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Maryland Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Whitmore |
1.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
A. P. Indian |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rockinn On Bye |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Never Gone South |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Awesome Banner |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Holy Boss |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Laki |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Classy Class |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sonny Inspired |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gallorette S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Cambodia |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Come to Mischief |
50.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Elysea’s World (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Grace Is Ready |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gone Away |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Danilovna (IRE) |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Zipessa |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
On Leave |
2.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Queen Caroline |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Laur Net |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Larc Sir Barton S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Honor the Fleet |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Society Beau |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hedge Fund |
1.80 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Liar’s Dice |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Resiliency |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
No Mo Dough |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
True Timber |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Time to Travel |
3.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Greek Prince |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Watch Me Whip |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Longines Dixie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Conquest Typhoon |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Security Risk |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Catapult |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Top of Mind |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
World Approval |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
One Mean Man |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Ring Weekend |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Blacktype (FR) |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Projected (GB) |
3.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Talk Show Man |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Cloud Computing |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Always Dreaming |
0.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Classic Empire |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Gunnevera |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Senior Investment |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hence |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Lookin At Lee |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Term of Art |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Multiplier |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Conquest Mo Money |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 14 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Dukin’ With Dale |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lunar Rock |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Risky Guy |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
American Luxury |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Supervisor |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Classic Wildcat |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Vim |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Hunger |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Minor Legend |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Haywired |
3.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.