May 20, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | My Cowboy | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Frontier | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Picketts Corner | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Valoordo | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Live in Joy | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Compass Stone | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Phil’sfirstfactum | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart and True | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oklahoma Den | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rizwan | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sea of Makebelieve | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Confidential | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Another Key | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dial One | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yeehaw | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Particularity | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bitacora | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | From Ria to Riches | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Natrona Girl | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jermyn Street | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fashion Factor | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lantiz | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Renee’s Cat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Baba Tobi | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salieri | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gregory Sun | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gemologister | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Do It Fast | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storybook Secret | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Getaway Car | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spurs N Bows | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Remarkable Tale | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Velvet Colors | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cunaviche | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Safe | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Nutty Boy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erich’s Talisman | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mass Approval | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | There Goes Bella | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy’s Surprise | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossyatta | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lookin Fabulous | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Aloha Street | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fend for Yourself | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Blonde | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen’s Haven | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Annazell | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artra by Me | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Capital City | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Apache | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phish Fan | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Frank C | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Guy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Awesome | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fifth Avenue Flash | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Better Man | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cold Blood | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Taken to Church | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Family Crest | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bolara | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ship Lock | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Palm Beach | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Danny | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gran Secreto (ECU) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom Liz | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Big Boy | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gio Political | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pair Pair Tie | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toikin | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Grand Jr | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lost for Words | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Starship Menace | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dioscuri | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Solitary Warrior | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tout Vient | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saratoga Two Step | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Right Up My Alley | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonstricking | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Smith | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Quijote | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abounding Legacy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Very Very Stella | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Lucky | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Richard the Great | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hy Riverside | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildcat Wish | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | French Quarter | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Cash | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aces for John | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Viski Jones | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bite the Bit | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Le Kybalion | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Big Venezuelan | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prominence | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Hope Is Rising | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Il Nonno | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dividend (FR) | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Scarlet Wine | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Home Power | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Break in the Storm | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brass Badge | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.