May 19, 2017 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Lemon Lover |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Blisstikus |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Boheme de Lavi |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Everlasting Secret |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
My Magician |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Summer House |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Zippity Zoom |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Tiz Emily and Jill |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lady Terp |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Delphinia |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Catching Fireflies |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Storm Temple Pilot |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Play Unified |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dare to Be |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Spanish Romance (IRE) |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Do What I Say |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Nastar Medallist |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Super Sharp |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Maximus Beauty |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Indian Paint |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Fastener |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Borino |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Thirst for Truth |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Tiz a Diamond |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Candycoated Dame |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
My Tootsy |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Private Client |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Canny |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Quietly Dancing |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Majestic Trick |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Mini Hero |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hell of Afire |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Notapradaprice |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Meddybemps |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Lottie |
3.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Zone Defence |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Power of Snunner |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mo’ Green |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Shes a True Beauty |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Carrumba |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
She’s a Warrior |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Terra Promessa |
1.20 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Winter |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Serious Happiness |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Gone Away |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Outsider Art |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Family Meeting |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Tricky Escape |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Bawlmer Hon |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
12 |
9 |
Armoire |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Janine Melnitz |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Arraign |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Sassy Little Cat |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Conscription |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Sokie |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Good Roll |
30.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Pimlico Special H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Eagle |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Shaman Ghost |
0.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Fellowship |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Noble Bird |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Discreet Lover |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Name Changer |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Watershed |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Conquest Windycity |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dolphus |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Bodhisattva |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Hilltop S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Victory to Victory |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
My Sweet Stella |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Compelled |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Chubby Star |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
12 |
7 |
Happy Mesa |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Corporate Queen |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Mercy Ann |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Dynatail |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Romantic Music |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Follow No One |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Sweeping Paddy |
12.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dance Queen |
8.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Priss |
50.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Adena Springs Miss Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Astrollinthepark |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Too Much Tip |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Pretty City Dancer |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Shacklefords Lady |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
R Angel Katelyn |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Our Majesty |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Crabcakes |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
My Miss Chiff |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Nonna Bella |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
14 |
13 |
Deer Valley |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bode’s Dream |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Discreet Deceit |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Vertical Oak |
10.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Stormy Embrace |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Who’s the Lady |
15.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Made Bail |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
15 |
14 |
Tale of E Dubai |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Richard’s Boy |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pay Any Price |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Take Cover |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
M C Squared |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Amelia’s Wild Ride |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Uncle Youdge |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ben’s Cat |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Grandiflora |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Alpha Slew |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Cyclogenisis |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Grand Candy |
8.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Triple Burner |
20.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Platinum Prince |
12.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Black Jet |
30.00 |
14.3 |
27-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Black-eyed Susan S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Shimmering Aspen |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Summer Luck |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Torrent |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tapa Tapa Tapa |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Corporate Queen |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Full House |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Moana |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dancing Rags |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Actress |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lights of Medina |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Yorkiepoo Princess |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
16 |
16 |
Unaquoi |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Lil Habit of Mine |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Grogger |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
I’m So Munny |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Arbol |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Advert |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Athena’s Aegis (IRE) |
3.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Harlands Thunder |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Look Who’s Talking |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lady Allegra (IRE) |
3.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ms Eileen |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Just too Much |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Hidden Pearl |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Little Stella |
10.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Tizadoozi |
30.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Rithm and Rap |
15.00 |
15.3 |
29-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Skipat S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Disco Chick |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Summer Reading |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Sweet On Smokey |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Clipthecouponannie |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Pleasant Tales |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Stormy Sky |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Absatootly |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Chanteline |
3.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lovable Lady |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
West Coast Bias |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Twisted Adage |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Silver Slivers |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Head for the Shore |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Charged |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Fuerza |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Giving |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Stealing Holly |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Prevailing Party |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
She’slikethewind |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Discreet Power |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Laskarina |
8.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dazzle |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Voices Only |
30.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bete Noir |
20.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.