May 19, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Td Special Jessa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Da Boss Hoss | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rootnandtootn | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bjs Going Going Gone | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunny Rose | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ojos de Angel | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maxed Out On Corona | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Money for Pop | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mc Jac Hammer | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summer Motion | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Game Own | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Im Mighty Fast | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Prize Chad | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devils Bag of Cash | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Gene Hammontree | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dwaynes First Perry | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kissin Fire | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bugatti B | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Okie Sweet Corona | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kjr E Pole It | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hezthefireman | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beaucoups of Roses | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Igottaadios | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shesa Diamond Diva | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tdz First Toast | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Igottagiterdone | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Logans Bella Rosa | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Razzatoni | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paretti | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secrets Doubleshot | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Really Fast Dash | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Courage | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fast Southern Prize | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jess a Prized Doll | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye Heart Blue | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Glamorous Girl | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sizzle Baby Sizzle | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Boo | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulously Black | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heza Royal Patriot | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Black Ram | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Fast Beau | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wagon Gone Rogue | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teardrops At the Bar | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moral Compass | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Kool Secret | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jumpn On Glass | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jumpn Temptation | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jt Cruiser | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Lucky Chic | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Nino Runaway | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tdz Jet Black Honey | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Dashin Ms Perry | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tee Brenda | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faithncourage | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apache Brave Heart | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | House of Cards B | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flared Up Wagon | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fjr Anudder Butter | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dashing Oak Tree | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Game Chivato | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Futurity) – Lassie F.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ttt Kas | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bureaucracy B | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Political | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shez Dead Serious | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dashnunder Afullmoon | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jrs Egos Runaway | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tee Magica | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eying Louisiana Game | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Tee Lajolla | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Debbie D | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sr Shambles | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nsm Cherokee Warrior | 1.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Dinero | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Edward L Perry | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gifted Game | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tdz Miss Shinin Elie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hearts Dont Lie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ms Addyson Lee | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nbc Catrina Dasher | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Panther On the Beach | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rmr Wide Open | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ho Lotta Game | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magicpilotored | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aint Eye Something | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taylor Maid to Toast | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | See Me Streakin Bye | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trixxi | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.