May 18, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jennyway U Want It | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Smoke | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starlite Style | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dragon Flower | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kennedie Sky | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forthenineteen | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ismelucky | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Willows Babe | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Dee Way to Go | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swallows Inn Gal | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empress of Lov | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mondaymorningblues | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cause We Are Loyal | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Twirling Trunk | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Trustini | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Fran | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Tango | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aikau | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Louden’s Gray | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Changing Karma | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I B Mike | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Limited Response | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ajac | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cherokee Dynasty | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oopper Wallah | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Interrogator | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crafty Cowboy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pundy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Causa | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bay Muzik | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Hale | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Monster Man | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ritzy A. P. | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Quiet Dude | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ky. Colonel | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Van Cortlandt | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sorry Erik | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moonlight Blue | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fashion Business (GB) | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sahara Storm | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gunslinger | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Paris Night | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Pocket | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Above Board | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bad Jon | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Fight Thru | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Long Game | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Larson | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Well Maybe | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Blue | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Luck | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finallygotabentley | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Minister | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenji’s Savior | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tammy’s Window | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sally Simpson | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Queen Scheherazade | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tahitian Lagoon | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gee Street | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Love | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ourroseofthenile | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ragazza Di Vola | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Varsovienne | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Christmas Carol | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dixie Dish | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.