May 18, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Herecomesyourman | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tizfun | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Data Room | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Holiday | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Polar City | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Regrets | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lordcommandersnow | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pete Marwick | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talk Softly | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Brahms | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tempestad | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Long Night | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Cousin Dick | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carlino | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arch Contender | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard to Have Fun | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Markitoff | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bootlegger (FR) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Chrome | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | King of Spades | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | War Bond | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Phat Man | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Vilma | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Taste for Talent | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Liberal Spin | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Shamcat | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Unexplained | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Control Group | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Passport to Chaos | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1X | 9 | He’s Cheeky | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Burn Control | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Picco Uno | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Browse | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silvertoni | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Myfourchix | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Da Wildcat Girl | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hopper Dropper | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alien Season | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Martino | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mount Upton | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outrageous Bet | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Cat | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oh So Sinister | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dublin Leprechaun | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Leatherhead Lurie | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Selenite | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Literata | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Alli | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pussy Willow | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Cell | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Bonita Springs | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Khaleesi Kat | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Weather Girl | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Majesty | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Mags | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Threefiveindia | 0.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Ride | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candid Desire | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassicaia | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadeyrn | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Special Risk | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Murrell’s Belle | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miko | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ouro Verde | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thirtydaysinjune | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Katherina | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mugu | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shezastraybullet | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Long Island Lady | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Daddyisdooley | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.