May 17, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cache | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Best Performance | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Trinni | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cuccidati | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | On the Hassle | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trinni Princess | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Initiate | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Price too High | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Folk Magic | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Joust | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 1.20 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Talaaqy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Lipstick City | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Hold On Momma | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wildcat Belle | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Madam Aamoura | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Katie Ice | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bellelarama | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Milaya | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 7 | Gobi | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zuzanna | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Patience Love | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stay Safe Kitten | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Courtly Kitty | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Archumybaby | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer of Joy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Woundwithhereyes | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On the Fringe | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rock Ave. Road | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grassarla | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Livia | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Out of Nowhere | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Posse’s Paradise | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fancy Gem | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Holy Gold | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s Dreamin | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Chris | 2.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Carry Your Heels | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Louisiana Lady | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiffany’s Vision | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mountain Music Man | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Memories of Peter | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Uncle Sigh | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Converge | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spin Cycle | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harbor King | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mr Harlan | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Damage Control | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Crocheron Kid | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rooftop View | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rapt | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hirschbein | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Powerful Instinct | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Slew’s Brew | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rockford | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Too Fast to Pass | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King of Anything | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saratoga Wildcat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Guy Ian | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Risetotheoccasion | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Driving Me Crazy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brewing | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Tiznoble | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Adulator | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Tasit | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Adventist | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fox Rules | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gio’s Calling | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Indycott | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Hello Don Julio | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Stormin Monarcho | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Testosterstone | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Anthony | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ezra | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bob | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big Auk | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Morning Daddy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor and Pleasure | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Royal Ridge | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | There Goes Ben | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kyanite | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Circumnavigate | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fleet Admiral | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 11 | Captain Kitt | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gee’n Tee | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.