May 14, 2017 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Skip the Talk |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
She’s Thirsty |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Sheet Lightning |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Springtime Wind |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Expect a Kitten |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Love in Excess |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Lemon Drop Pop |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Justa Scoch |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Annie Boo Boo |
5.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
The Big Breakfast |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Next Street |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Chips Icluded |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Balharbour Miss |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Norma My Bride |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Tzi Pink Freud |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Brook’s On Fire |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Lady Terp |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
My Tootsy |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Emelina |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Nickyrocksforpops |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Blake’s Magic |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Two Wonders |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kacy Lauren |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Littlemissperfect |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Doukas |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Y’er Wan |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Mazzy Star |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Enticing Evening |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ready It |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Fleur de Force |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Fiveoclocksomwhere |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mountebank |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Pret Say Eye |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
More Stormyweather |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dance N Denae |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lemon Lover |
1.40 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Lady From Cheyenne |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Just Funnin’ Ya |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Sarah’s Whisper |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Supersized Soldier |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Bust |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Never Stop Looking |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Any Court Inastorm |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
The Pulse |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Struth |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sing Praises |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
American Progress |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Strongbaksteeltoes |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
After the Cut Off |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Great Harbour Cay |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Hard to Want |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Prime Number |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Annawon |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Whiskey Sour |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Mongolian King |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Dr. Goldfarb |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Dazzling Okie |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Tuckers Point |
4.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Put It Forward |
2.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Datamining |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
12 |
9 |
Frasero (ARG) |
4.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hard Drive |
12.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Here We Go Joe |
20.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Martywiththeparty |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
It’s the Journey |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Apolodorodedamasco |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Parade of Nations |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Willie B Mine |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Captain Alex |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dat Dares Gold |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Wazzala |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Here First |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Dominic’s Pride |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Page Too |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Platinum Band |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bravucona |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Notable Game |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Jax |
1.80 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Little Miss Jojo |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Whiskey Chick |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Jazzlyn |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.