May 14, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Hard Hitter | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tipit | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Honorable Jonas | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Entiendo | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Z Royal | 1.20 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spotty Zealous | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rare Gem | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Skyline Drive | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Flurry | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rain in Spain | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Via Frattina | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sunday Gravy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Communion Money | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mama’s Red Hat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fullback Foye | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Save the Tigers | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zaguri | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Undercover Agent | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lion Sleeps | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rossie Val | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap City | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beneficial Risk | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mollica | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Francesco Flier | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Facade | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Grey (FR) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Union Riches | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. McFrosty | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tin Drum | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Kitten | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Addictive | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Bareeqa | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Bergen | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Pinchbeck | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Spades | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Vortex Road | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | About That Base | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Votre Coeur | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Fly Ash | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hyde Park Express | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Krista’s Persona | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lakeside Sunset | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abounding Spirit | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moondance Joy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Ruby | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Luciano | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bi Light of Day | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Insta Erma | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Prospect | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Catcha Rising Star | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Flick of an Eye | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peru (GB) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Pawleys Express | 1.20 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Rocks | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Malibu Princess | 1.40 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Holidays Saratoga | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | O. K. Kay | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Lady | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Queenofthechannel | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nouvelle Vague (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 7 | Jemmabelle | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Madame Uno | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Loyal Heart | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Northern Screamer | 1.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Side Up | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Short Kakes | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Woundwithhereyes | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Wonderful Savvy | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Ice Palace | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Indygita | 15.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.