May 13, 2017 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zen Papa | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Term Leader | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parseghian | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Willie | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turbin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Media | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Antietam Creek | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ermine and Purrs | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goldies Tale | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magic Cookie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Keys Garboy | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Frecuencia | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke the Hunt | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Salute | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Better Way | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fortutious | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Distinct Diva | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Just Wanna Win | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Start Winning | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Adeline | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Star Touch | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justice for Sheena | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Claravoyant | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Lucky Star | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | I Dream of Lois | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Value Added | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Veblen Good | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Bring Me Answers | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Likeagirl | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Kyleigh’s Smile | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bound Bi Luck | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Pauline’s Raven | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | No Lemon No Lime | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pachi the Grey | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 2 | Xtra Wisemann | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kingdom Minded | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brahms Romp | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Witchy’s Laststand | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Make My Saturday | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Ruth Less Blue | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Hurler | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flyingtobechilders | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Billy the Bull | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Racy (GB) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Be a Hero | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Wild Bill | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Dagburnit | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dundalk | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spot On Fark | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Smarty Pants | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Cat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hill Shadow | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Voo Dude | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Quietly Dancing | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Boosting | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Nosy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Head Games | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shirleys Curls | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hell of Afire | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Include Gold | 1.20 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Truly Hot | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sommer Something | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shifra Magician | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Tolerance | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Colony Strike | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kowboy King | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Stalker | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rumblin Kyle | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theyallcomehome | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Catch Me Now | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbyeseeulater | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cold Spice | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.