May 12, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Jennys Secret Game |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Jr Dashin Jordan |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mightyclassycorona |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Apollitical News |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
The Alabama Strutt |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sheadashingivory |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sangria |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Next Queen |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Runaway Easy Sir |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ella Es Caliente |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
The Game Lover |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Vics Classic |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Cajuns Chick |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jw Sonofa Comment |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Jess a Casanova |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Austins Deal |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lb Cutie Cash |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Heza Dashing Dream |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Beyondthestolengame |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Nl Roll N Toast |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Geaux Kool Mary |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Racing Kane |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Ms Robrogas |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bbang |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Igotmychromeon |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Shes a Gamble |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tf Illegal Runaway |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Private Toast |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Debs Lil Girl |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Jk Midnight Jewel |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Notchka |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Holiday Credit |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Shiney Cartel |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Shez a Star |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Rl Coronas Tee |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Tf Special Runaway |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kiss My Shine |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Jets Dashin Rocket |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Patriotsastreakin |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Pilototechick |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Paint Your Jewels |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
A Classic Gambler |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ozil |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tf Iopening Runaway |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Coushattasizzler |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Fastdown |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Jet Black Rugaru |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Warriors Magic Man |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Jrs Crowns Angel |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Town Tiger |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Specialbyenbye |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sache |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tm All In |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Blu Jeans |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Jess Pop My Secret |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sheza Dashing Corona |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Jls Hippy John |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Do You Like Game |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Delta 550 S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Heza Bell Perry |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Chuys Valcom |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Apollitical Courage |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Gone Cartel |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Super Sonic Patriot |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Coronas Statement |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bar Struck |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Jls Book of Psalms |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Ww Showtime |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dashin for Dreams |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Mi Sugar Sugar |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Call Me Sizzlin |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ms Leaving You |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Rosies Corona |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hez for Real |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Lightemupwithcharm |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Jrs Arunawayeffort |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Grants Game |
8.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Miss Corona for Jess |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Derby) – Old South Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Mega Hero |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sizzlin Stewart |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ardor |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Td Famous Jes |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Jess a Fighter |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
First Impulse |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jmf Dashing |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Jmf Western Cartel |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Tres Seis Sign |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tough too Catch |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Lincolns Oak Tree |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Patriot Fantacy |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Firstdown Apollo |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tf Eyes R Dashin |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Jw Naughty Girl |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ways of Cartel |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Carters Royal |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Heza Fast Dilly |
4.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Hye Octane |
5.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Kickin Some Coronas |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.