May 12, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Bustin the Bank | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Non Stop | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full Salute | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Formal Summation | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Street Shark | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monster Mash | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Steve’s Image | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mastic | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Presence of Mind | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Walk and Talk | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Badaboom | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Flip | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frozen Giant | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surprise Wonder | 1.20 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Over Salty | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trinni Juice | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Assertive | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Gerty | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Presumptuous | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Helena | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Golden Rose | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maddy’s Way | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Howlin Mad Smith | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Won’t Burn | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noneedtoflatterme | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Match | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Actor | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happygetlucky | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Donald Problem | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dublin Express | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spicy Sider | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Five Star Rampage | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Hayne No Gayne | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zealous Scholar | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Discreet | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Eighty Eight | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peaches and Spice | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Fleet Irish | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Inheritthewind | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dynamax Prime | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Stormin Stephen | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Southern Union | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Black Tide | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Yummy Bear | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vintage Matters | 3.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Down One to Go | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Fun Guy | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Casigordo | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exclusive Zip | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Prophet’s Cat | 6.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Im the Captain Now | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brookline | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Karma Delight | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocketry | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Desperado | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Providence Road | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Meerfalken | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Any Questions | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Somesville | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carbon Data | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Praise the Moon | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Bushmill’s Legend | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Into the Breach | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Side | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bootlegger (FR) | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lex Vegas | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heckuvashot | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alex the Terror | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Do Share | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anytime Anyplace | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fortuitous Path | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Zip Zip Man | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Performance Bonus | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Zandar | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Shea D | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joy Drive | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Spearhead | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Dixie Runner | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond the Green | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Portando | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nobody Move | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.