May 11, 2017 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Romia | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2X | 6 | Simonela | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | She Runs Hot | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Or Stroll | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unkiss Me | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Deep Red | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Lacey’s Lace | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sammy Be Cool | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Francisca Spell | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chickaletta | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Color Me Sexy | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zipline | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gethot Stayhot | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Came Up Rosie | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Prancer | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macroeconomics | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Majesty | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cherished Prize | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Beautiful Nite Sky | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rescue Cat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky to the Max | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Chamberlin Road | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Photo Gallery | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Undaunted Spirit | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kazzie Cottonwood | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notthatitmatters | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tarheel Raven | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Dear Charlotte | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Indian Red | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Young Dude | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lets Get It Going | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love to Prospect | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Confession | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vision of Green | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hush Hush Henny | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Salute | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Workerbee | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | William’sluckygray | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Race and Shine | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | E Lizzy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chapel Gap | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cracking Good Pins | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Unspoken | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Louise | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Carolina Dreams | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rarified Air | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Awesome Standard | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sensational Notion | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hardwin | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Godlovesasinner | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Sunny Hansen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Slim | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spuyten Duyvil | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Not in Charge | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Cleave | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Siem Riep | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Earned It | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cent Comm | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Good Reasoning | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Regrets | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Nims | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Shortlist | 2.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uhwarrie Sky | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 8 | Broad Reach | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Grecian Prince | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hickory Hill | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Max Crown | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supervisor | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Demon Buster | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Professor Zoom | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baduke | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Love’s Legend | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reilly S | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Colirubia | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Mesmerize | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Friesan Gal | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Petticoatsnpistols | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gray Veil | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | A Simple Challenge | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Schmiss | 2.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bokeh | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Glory Unbound | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scarfire | 4.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Southsidestrut | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.