May 11, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Starship Wildcat | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Kantharos | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Chia Ghost | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Padilla | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harryhee | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Our Independence | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Red | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | All About Yasom | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Rontos | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Adagio | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonstricking | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Niaus | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Critic | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twas Nero | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honour Light | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Avalanche | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party Tarde | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Racer | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twotimingdancer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Distinction | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Resolana | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Forward | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Greatness | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holters Girl | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Beleve Watch | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calabria | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Lotta Drama | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton Princess | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jill’s Catch | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Validity | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bella Kittens | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly Swift | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atenea (ECU) | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grace Appeal | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Fashion Affair | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little United | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waves of Blue | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Threat | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Thirsty | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Milbra | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Appella’s Ball | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Case Dismissed | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Overdriven Cat | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Baby | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Debrah’s Dance | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Abtaal | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Rustico | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vigas | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Browns Gap | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amberjack | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Impulse | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wolf Dance | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mambocello | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Concealedwithakiss | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rock Solid Lady | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dude Fantasy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savingtime | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Than a Party | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Linda Mimi | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mom’z Laugh | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Biloxi Bay | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unbroken Chain | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harry’s Gone Gray | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Di Maestro | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little No Way | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rule Maker | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harlan’s Quest | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bolara | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Omened By | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.