May 10, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Mischief | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dark as Midnight | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Polar Jet | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Hero Within | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | American Pioneer | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Discreet Encounter | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Time to Flirt | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veil | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jonquil | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Farcical Feline | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Passing Moments | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Holiday Hopes | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gratifying | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemondrop Lollipop | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Banks | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bow Town Cat | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sadie Be Good | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Fair Lily | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Squared | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anna Rae | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Picture Day | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blenheim Palace | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empressof the Nile | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angels Seven (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Violet Blue | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Cast | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swizzle | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | If You Say So | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pop Rocks Lady | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Section | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fahan Mura | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Barbarian | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thrice | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Scarlet Goddess | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B Three | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Queen of Spades | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Jetsam Six | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Sasana (GB) | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Saratiago | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fautive | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Can’tcatchtheraxx | 6.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Light Reign | 50.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Spirit | 50.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Avery | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Privy Council | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Culpa Mia | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Your Love | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Feed Me Carats | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Quiet Flirt | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Muffin | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Broad Stripes | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Pax in Terra | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Commander | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ready Dancer | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Are We Not Men | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Banner Bill | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shadow Rider | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paid Admission | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Our Caravan | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scheme | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Believe Indeed | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lillie’s Answer | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Queen (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rimanisempreforte | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vagabond | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Song | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Penjade (FR) | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bargaining Table | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hold On Momma | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Hearts | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baronet | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Nina | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Same Kinda Crazy | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | E Warfare | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sabrina Ballerina | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Dose | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.