May 7, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Milhaud | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dog Gone Lenny | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Tina’s Exchange | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bucky Goldstein | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Airlite | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Combat Zone | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Cascade Rock (IRE) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | General Kitten | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Bryan Habana (ARG) | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Irish Dame | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Issue | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’sluckythatway | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Constant Craving | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Be Held | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Uncle Al | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | B G’s Thunder | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nashoga | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoppitty | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gonzo | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Cowboy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Intoitagain | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runnin for Tuition | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | California Breeze | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty Union | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knk’s Dolce Vita | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Shopper | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | True Testament | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Life of Illusion | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Adoration S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bellamentary | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Skye Diamonds | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lady Tapit | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sensitively | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Vale Dori (ARG) | 0.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Faithfully | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Autumn Flower | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Sheza Chattykat | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mistressofthenight | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Life’s Blessings | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Peach Pike | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Prix | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Pellucid (GB) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Saburai | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Chalon | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamy Gal (IRE) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Atomic Action | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gentrified | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Face of Victory | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Edwards Going Left | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Man Chuckles | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hitters Park | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Harbor | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Johann’s Command | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Corps de Ballet | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | September Stars (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nine Point Nine | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thermodynamics | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cheekaboo | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Dragon Fly (GB) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Backintheacademy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Plastered | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Laseen (IRE) | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Amboseli | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Rangi (GB) | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stoneys Mr Cruiser | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Problem | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Two Six Wins | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Celebrated Talent | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Last One Standing | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Iron Rob | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Out of Patience | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.