May 7, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Unforgivable U | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Code Red | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courtmewithcarats | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sisella | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salori’s Bank | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bluegrass Hip Hop | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | You Know I Know | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Springs (FR) | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Husband’s Folly | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Pigeon | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Banner Bill | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | King of Spades | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Are We Not Men | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Parting Gift | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | On Tap | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chamois | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chunnel | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Canada | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shadow Rider | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | No Texting | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Flat Out S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scuba | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doyouknowsomething | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Posse | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tu Brutus (CHI) | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bombshell | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Need to Appeal | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indygita | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maddizaskar | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Riot Worthy | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battlement (GB) | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mary Pray for Us | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quasney’s Angel | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Chocolotta | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ditch Em | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Mane | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Splash of Sass | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Persky’s Spirit | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Courage | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She Is My Hero | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11 | Chiltern Street | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dowse’s Beach | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Get Jets | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Altar Boy | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Poshsky | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 15B | 15 | Fortuitous Path | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Changewilldoyagood | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11B | 11 | Tombelaine | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Conquest See Ya | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Ostrolenka | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spring Quality | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Pirellone | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Docs Legacy (IRE) | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Glorious Empire (IRE) | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Top Brass | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Inheritance | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sing for Beauty | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Disguise | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bahnahno | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Decorator Jenn | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | His Girl Friday | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Askfor Forgiveness | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Diablo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Noholdingback Bear | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Green Gratto | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chief Lion | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Still Krz | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Life in Shambles | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alex the Terror | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Stallwalkin’ Dude | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spartiatis | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Brooklyn Speights | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Incorporate | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Fullback Foye | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Light the Vow | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mast Step | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quai Voltaire | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Our American Star | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Alpha Go | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cafe Y Blanco | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heldatgunpoint | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carro de Oro | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nut Nut | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Desert Thunder | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Skeet Shot | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | White Missile | 0.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | T R Royal | 0.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.