May 5, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Bit Lovely | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Del Mar Ann | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brookes All Mine | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dissension | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Not too Shiny | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Mousse | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vanlose Stairway | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pearl de Vere | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Individual Design | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Audra | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Papaslilprincess | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sidepocket Run | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Veronica Bay | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dollemma | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mandy D | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | She’s Movin On | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bona Fide Image | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Aurelius | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Angel Tears | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Heart Is Yours | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Forthe Lovof Patty | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reward of Roses | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Juansagain | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iancol | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Antinanco | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Jolie | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lambo Luxx | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Accelerant | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Dream Police | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foolish to Deceive | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Nation | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Who Said Lucky | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Moonman | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mostly Cloudy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Getoffmyback | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ucanthankmelater | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Spin Me a Kiss | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lostintranzlation | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Californiasummer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jabber Now | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sarah Sunshine | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Love | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dixie Dish | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Christy Jackson | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamon Toast | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Shaula | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Right to the Point | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Dorian | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Surfin’ Safari | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ruby’s Gone Again | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Table for Three | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Treasure | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Ragazza Di Vola | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenthousandreasons | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Accelerate | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danzing Candy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lieutenant Colonel | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avanti Bello | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokey Image | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ike Walker | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Royal | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Return | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Site Read | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mission Driven | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lindante | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Bane Theory | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | On Draft | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | County Lineman | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mexican Groove | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Trifecta | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tribal Tribute | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamy Martini | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.