May 5, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Ready It |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Cheryl’s Way |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Suzy’s Street |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Nairet |
1.80 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hideaway |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Brook’s On Fire |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Self Determination |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Anthem Singer |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Tweeting |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Vienna Melody |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Miss Mischievous |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mandolin |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Not Mine But Ours |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Holiday Prayer |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Mo Light |
2.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Great Craic |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Radar Gun |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
5 |
Big Platinum |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bluegrass Rye |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Expectations |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Alarming |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
O Say Eye |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Buddly Buddy |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
16 |
16 |
Big Ralph |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Papa Vinny |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
English Tudor |
10.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
7 |
4 |
Brush Dance |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Open Petition |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Mine Quarry |
15.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Runaway Mike |
3.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
10 |
6 |
Collateral Damage |
12.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Be Back |
15.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Big Slick |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
One Step Closer |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Animal Quiet |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Deal Driven |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sam’s Will |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Hail the General |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Can’tmakethisup |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Abruzzi’s Star |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
El Manut |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
8 |
Zapata |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
14 |
9 |
Coach Matthew |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
A True Gentleman |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
3 |
Good Boy Lucas |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
6 |
Fast Talk |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
5 |
Determined |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Fly E Dubai |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tradfest |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Storm Candy |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
He’s One Wild Dude |
8.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
7 |
4 |
Tigers Bop |
6.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
12 |
7 |
Mr. October |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
5 |
2 |
Crimson Secret |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Circle of Light |
8.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Graceful Light |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Fergie’s Lady |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mysideofthestreet |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
La Murette |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Isabella Rocks |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Christmas Dinner |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Saint Penny |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Rosetta Red |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
A Simple Challenge |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Running Tide |
10.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Supertrend |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Aiden’s Rag Doll |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Hailey’s Flip |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kissin Cassie |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Thirst for Truth |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Faze the Nation |
1.40 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Fillupcohensapiker |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
All Fired Up |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
12 |
8 |
The Great Provider |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
7 |
Warleigh |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Shan Dian Kia |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Best Yes |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Concordia’s Way |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Apolodorodedamasco |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Tempt Me Twice |
4.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Tequesta Storm |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Supervisor |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Nice Tune |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Willie B Mine |
8.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
So Quiet |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Regal Expectations |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Angel Gio |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Sunset Arch |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Colonel Argo |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Wigwam Summer |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Barin |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Sambook |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Justifiable Junior |
4.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Horseshoe Harbour |
8.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
8 |
Break the Mold |
3.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Gaelic Chieftain |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Survoyant |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Lovely Lad |
10.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
Scr |
13 |
9 |
Green in Site |
30.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Len’s Magic |
20.00 |
15.8 |
30-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.