May 5, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Tm Lota Loot | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Taylor Gray | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | This Games Special | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr On the Run | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R a M Scrambler | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Jess Huckleberry | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sovereign Diamonds | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fast and Fine | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Karlys Secret Pop | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hez Freal | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Special Game | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dukes First Prize | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coronas Purse | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eyesa Schoolboy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beyondspatriot | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Struttinmyjewelsoff | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Boy Agouti | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charliez Angel | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bjs Shoksomewings | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call to Action | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Kool | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Off Road Princess | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mda Miss Jess Roll | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bjs Moondreamer | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jw Tuff Love | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Oak Tree | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bonnies Own Fortune | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carita Angel | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rl Quick Jet | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Make Em Jump | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rio Rojo Patriot | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Haulin Shiney | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Stolis Colors | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ub a Sizzler | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fabiolas Six | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Callies Runaway | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jw Ondabayou | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Here Me Rawrr | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jessa Ladies Man | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sue Is My Name | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Half Time Blues | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hez Toast | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Ah Brother | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flight Status | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Rose | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tanks for the Memory | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Wild Women Will | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Balance | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Purdy Moma | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mariannas Comet | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eye Opening Bux | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Fine Louisiana | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Toast This Mvp | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mighty Doris | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toast to Leaving You | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Kates Game | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Proud | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Da Patriot | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chase My Cosino | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chetts Fast Prize | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hayden V | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Got Game | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oh Buddy Rough | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brrrrr | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slizzlin Steele | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bababababababad | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Diamonds Agouti | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Prize Chad | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agoutis Snowplow | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Im Mighty Fast | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whitepearl | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classified Red Bull | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keepn It Kool | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royals Init for Love | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Struttin Sallye | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Rdd Miss Dashin Bye | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cw Hollywood Bride | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flattering Effort | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Missin the Bux | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Strawflyin Fast | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shineymemories | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dash of Pride | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | First Dashing Maria | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tm Riptide | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Pyc Lajolla | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Logans Bux | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Razzaroni | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aint Eye Special | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Peytonsrunaway | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hezthefireman | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Ministers Goldengirl | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whatiwontdo | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bluesnosecret | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nellies First Prize | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.