May 5, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Epic Lady | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Desirous | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Kid | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeanne’s Speight | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Stars Wilburn | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Viserion | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Long Island Lady | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Princess Sariah | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forres Lily | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Court House Kitty | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oldfashioned Club | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rudy’s Boy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Monster | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Analyze Your Luck | 1.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s My Way | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mugu | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Nauti Belle | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fiscal Discipline | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Put On a Show | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Queen Katherina | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sunday Gravy | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rising Polka Dot | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Love Poochie Loo | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Initiate | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Scheme | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Folk Magic | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Tickled Pink | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Pazzaluna | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joust | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Harlem | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fly By | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Two Hot Betty | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Jest a Princess | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Battle Joined | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vigor | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Rubilinda | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 1 | Hexameter | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Transaction Tax | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tapany | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 6 | Conspiring | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Fear No Evil | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passing Moments | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Remarqued | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broad Stripes | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Readthebyline | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin It | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeter | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All About Ashley | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Sol the Freud | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Pegasus Red | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saratoga Heater | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lyrical Miracle | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Vagrancy H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Pretty N Cool | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bar of Gold | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Kathryn the Wise | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Fusaichi Red | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quezon | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wheatfield | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Carrumba | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | By the Moon | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kalabaka | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jemmabelle | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Anydayismyday | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’s So Fine | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Off Limits (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Gioia Stella | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pop By | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gotachancetodance | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Sokie | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Annie Rocks | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Son of Oahu | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Fielding Gold | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 4 | Super Psyche | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 3 | Snowfly | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mascarello | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Dearie | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Noble and True | 1.60 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Benny Big Boy | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Japonski | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Fun Guy | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 5 | Vilma | 2.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Balfe’s Corner | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Tin Drum | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Street Fightin Man | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.