May 4, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ponder Lea | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indriya | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scattagirl | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss At Midnight | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nodiac (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anita Partner (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Show It N Moe It | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Into Rissa | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ismelucky | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whata Flirt | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gorgeous Ginny | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Sue | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venice | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Fran | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Preacher | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Twirling Apples | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ramona Lover | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brandy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Settle Down Eileen | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demigoddess | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal F J | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aikau | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Templar | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Changing Karma | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Nika | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Limited Response | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Will Tell | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Closing Time | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exotic Ghost | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Hosa | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Popular Kid | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Ruler | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Who Cares | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eichel | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Call the Queen | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Passion for Papa | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magicalchic | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Diva | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Marthamydear | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dressed in Prada | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thisone’sforjimmy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sheza Firstsamurai | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lemon Ridge | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Heart Is Yours | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zapperkat | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | S Y Sky | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spooky Woods | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auntjenn | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bernina Star | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Coco | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Allaboutmike | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Kona Dreams | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ral Rue | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Upperclassman | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Go Ghetto | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Magical More | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gotnoquit | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Red Carpet Cat | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamin’ of Blaze | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Alpha Uno | 50.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fall Harvest | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | You’ll Be Lucky | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cleanup Hitter | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Irish Goodbye | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.