Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 4, 2017

May 4, 2017 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Pistol Patti 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Remember Magic 1.60 1.8 3-1
2 2 C O Barnrat 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Mini’s Shoes 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Eastern Sky 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Cats Honor 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Holy Marie 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 1 Michelle Baby 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Twelve Belles 6.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
8 7 Run Away Home 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 Blue Key Rosie 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 6 So Sterling 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Takeagambleonme 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Sea Kitty 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 5 Kenzie’s Logic 10.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Copper Hill 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Black Tie 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Runarounddancing 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Command a Bull 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Jebadiah 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Ready Cat 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Sizzle Factor 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Free and Proud 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Songatmidnight 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Cindication Boss 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 City Romance 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Miss Azul 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Chasenthisdream 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Alpine Luck 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Indexical 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Creative Art 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Fleet Eagle 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Suspect a Storm 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Steel Locket 3.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Rock City Roadhog 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Esperanza 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Waytogo Trish 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Camy Award 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 I Tour 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Miss Tuti Fruti 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Scatin Around 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Box Office Appeal 4.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 More Than Krazy 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Myrna Anne 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Big Tuna 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 War General Too 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Langs Legend 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Admiral Roy 15.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Molleck 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Giant Gamble 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Domikate 6.00 7 13-1
7 7 Fools Rushin 10.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Major Mingo 8.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Rarin to Go 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Sky Defence 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Iowa Native 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cap Trick 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Mr. Ticker Talker 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Big Headed Jerry 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Nan’s Pierce Arrow 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Don’t Claim Me 10.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
2 1 Saturday 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Dale the Bug Man 5.00 3 6-1 Scr
6 5 Count N Gold 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 3 Courageous One 10.00 5 9-1
7 6 Galaxy’s Wildcat 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 7 Bombmarito 4.50 6.5 12-1
3 2 Tough to Handle 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 4 Dreamin the Dream 5.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.