May 4, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Triple Perry | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Special Prize Dash | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sizzling Game | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Legion | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skirt Chaser | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fast Dashin Tay | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tdz Miss Shinin Elie | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jrs Runaway Princess | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stoli First Prize | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Jordans First Prize | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Three R Zoomin | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jls Smoke N Go | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stolistormcat | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rdd Dash Ta Fame | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Ferragamo | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Imgametoo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Freakin Riot | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swagger Jet | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oak Tree Streakin | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Duncans Comment | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hes Money | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Consuela Delight | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Money for Pop | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prudish Cartel | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tomasitas Speedway | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jess a Dreamgirl | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Doncella Comminup | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colossal Elegance | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rapid Tree Jess | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spectre Rt | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Less Effortless | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fas Prize Doll | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cowgirl Game | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jess Cruzin the Mall | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swifter Deal | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tdz Fast Dasher | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luci 123 | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jess a Little Star | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captains Fortune | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Class Will Shine | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jrs Shez Lucky Stoli | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kissin Fire | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Follow My Scent | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Abby Grace | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warriorsdynastyduck | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neaux Speed Limit | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ldn Toast Dis Law | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rio Rojo Cosino | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phoebes Oak | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Over You | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Mata | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hi Rollin | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gamelee | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nd Ladys Man | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Story Teller | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Docs Pyc | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Repeat Tha Streak | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Woody | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Splendida Perla | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | All About That Smile | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elies Rakin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eyesa Game | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clareet | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Moon Dasher | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tf Magical Zoom | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Smart Fdd | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B and G Sweet Jet | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Got the Boy | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blaze Forward | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bjs Moonshine | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Truely Leavin You | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady in Black | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Like Logan | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Bru | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cosino Warrior | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Streakin | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mayo T | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blues Destiny | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Sexy Mvp | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Salt On the Corona | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fast Toastin Dash | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shez Jes Leaving You | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Storm Hunter | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strawberry Milk | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jls Rebs Wagon | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ttt Ima Fast Jet | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zoomin Bailey Girl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Jrs Tempting First | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bayou Bux | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jla Flogoes On Fire | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runnin Away a Menace | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fish Camp | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fast Jezudash | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rosita Special | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | T Otta B Me | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wicked Stoli | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ttt Kas So | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Corona for Harley | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.