May 3, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Atlantic Sunrise |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Smart Romance |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Forever for Always |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Miss Regal Light |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Feeling Awesome |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Track Teller |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Queen of Silence |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Grand Jr |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Starship Menace |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Graphite Strike |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sir Charles |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tempter |
1.60 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Zeus Odin |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Biggest Littlecity |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Blossomed in Time |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Little Shade |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Cindy’s Candy |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
U S Diva |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Flying Dude |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Pyrite Tonight |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Melody Croon |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Tip Sheet |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Kingston Pike |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Run Rate |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Crown to the Gold |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Jojo’s Spensive |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Admiral Jimmy |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Seminole Charlie |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Gaultier (FR) |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Czarmo |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
English Mahaveer |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Banco Dinero |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mr. Sam |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Nassau Talent |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Alabandus |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rory |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Mr. Tickle |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Global Entry |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Fair Prospect |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Perfect Tay |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Imperial Warrior |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Diaz (IRE) |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Handsome Jack |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Chief Attraction |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
South |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Appella’s Ball |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Princess Knoll |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Flibbertigibbet |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Mi Cuaima |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Grayciez Spirit |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Celtic Moonlight |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Vendita |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Quality Lady |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sweet Ella |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Reagan’s Odyssey |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Elizabeth Aurora |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
On a Star |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Look It Linda |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Lady Greatness |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Daddy’s Heiress |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
To B Discreet |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Classic Act |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Calabria |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Southern n’ Sassy |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bella’s Crown |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mymartina |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.