April 30, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Red Car Mac | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Street | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Super | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Movies | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crafty Cowboy | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Class Boy | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rainbow Squall | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nazareth | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Graycee | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Private Terrace | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lob City | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forthenineteen | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Air Pocket | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Tovar | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | St. Reno | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xingontothebone | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ajac | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Best Two Minutes | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cherokee Dynasty | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Royal Rebel | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monterey Shale | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Golden One | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Hunter | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wondering Ways | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobby Z | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Like Rhett | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Idiom | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Enduring Erin | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ceeme Run Wild | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | That’s a Lady | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Josephine’s Moment | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mining Diamonds | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allowances (IRE) | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Santa Barbara S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dressed to a T | 0.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Place des Vosges | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hiking | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evo Campo (IRE) | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Norris | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Estrechada (ARG) | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Responsibleforlove (IRE) | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Laseen (IRE) | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Betty Draper | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Candy Ruler | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Right to the Point | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Hailey Rachele | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Love Recipe | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Swiss Breeze | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Li’l Grazen | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Knowitallhousewife | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zillinda | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Powder | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Soul Sound | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dixie Crystal | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Christiana’s Song | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blameitonthelaw | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Two Step | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Serenade | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grazen Sky | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ransom the Moon | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Opportunist | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fortune of War (GB) | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Buckys Pick | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pavelski | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Particleacelerator | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Saburo | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Amazon Cry | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pacific Coast Hwy | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Latitude | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Oregon | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Traffic Thief | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ample Sufficiency | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | I’m Living Proof | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Thought | 0.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.