April 30, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Laughs N Kisses | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cass’s Dovehunt | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Actively Engaged | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Detection | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Blackbirdhasspoken | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Another Secret | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catch Ah Flight | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Much Desert | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gemonade | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Wagon | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peak a Woo | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exotic Appeal | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hazy Daisy | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocean Conquest | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Frayed Knot | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Beautiful Lady | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Patricia | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discovery Bay | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Deserted | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Axe Capital | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Feeling Super | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Three Butterflies | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Congrats to Avie | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True to His Word | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Scooter | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Two Steppin | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Magic Mick | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jim the Beast | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Win | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zephyrs Bolt | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tesio’s Son | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Cousin Lou | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Trick | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Runner | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clowney | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soaring Cid | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union River | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Siralfredthegreat | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grumpfather | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Love Is Your Name | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Freemark | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Louie Lunchbox | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ebo Strong | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Crushing Powder | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Neetie | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Watch My Dust | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Kyem | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adumato | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Swell | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Mr. Romance | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Ben of the Bridge | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Prodigious | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just Listen | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For Later | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaprancy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Modela | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chessen | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Koa | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Spice Girl | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shift Change | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Karen’s Chianti | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.