April 29, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Easy Song | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amaranta | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Starlite Style | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonshine Annie | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Aunt Tillie | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tahitian Lagoon | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Acclamation | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Teroda | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gee Street | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apphia | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Loud Stalker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slasher | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iceberg Slim | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mystical Image | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Grumpy | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King Pacal | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salah’s Diamond | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marchtothemusic | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaboom | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curly Creek | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grass Runner | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ralph Jacobs | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gato Dolce | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Hearted | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Bellamy | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Line | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goseecal | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrowsphere | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scandal | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Causeforcommotion | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Gabbiemeister | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Connie | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Top Quality | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ribbon of Jewels | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Creme de La | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Bailee | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Lilly | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | My Audubon | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bronze Age | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonist | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Howdy Kingkowboy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lifeline | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Hot | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Milton Freewater | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Can Do This | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Attack | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Carulli | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unbridled Rocket | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Norman Jorgenson | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Woodstock Memory | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ebony Gold | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Spanish Eyes | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Thunder Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sawyer’s Hill | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bolo | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fabozzi | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twentytwentyvision | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfectly Majestic | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mithqaal | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Farhaan | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honor and Courage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Rebel | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Touch | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Psychedelicat | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Absolutely Stylish | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Haskin | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Principal Bob | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hollywood Strike | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cats Blame | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Music | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Rye Patch | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Terzetto (BRZ) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s The Ice (GB) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ebadan (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hero Ten All | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bane Theory | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Brandothebartender | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Buymeabond | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sky Preacher | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Crown the Kitten | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Smuggler Union | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Touch (GB) | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | McHeat | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.