April 29, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Killybegs Captain | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Asphalt Paving | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Z Town | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On a Positive Note | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 1 | Dhamaan | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ollysilverexpress | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | H Man | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Fear | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freud’s Friend | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Animal Posse | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shiraz | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New York’s Finest | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Astrologist | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | River Knight | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chosen One Elijah | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Non Stop | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ackeret | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ganador | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You Know I Know | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Puppy Manners | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Long Gone | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tug of War | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | El Talento | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wanztbwicked | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Team | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Positive Waves | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Rider | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Townie | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flyoff | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Hot Factor | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shidoshi | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | River Date | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hard Study | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nigel’s Destiny | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cause I’m Alex | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Admiral Blue | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fearless Dragon | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vincento | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tricked Up | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Sandman | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snap Decision | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Irish Prayer | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Know Your Customer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spin Cycle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Posse | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Battle Midway | 1.80 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Bow Tie Affair | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Bullet | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Goldtown | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Ridge | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cozzy Spring | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Appeal | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holy Gold | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impazible Woman | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Downtown At Noon | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barbie On a Budget | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Posse’s Paradise | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kinky Sox | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saturdaynightfling | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Elusive Quality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Siding Spring | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Calgary Cat | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alex the Terror | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Hammers Vision | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Disco Partner | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Never Gone South | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greenpointcrusader | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Great Wide Open (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kharafa | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 9 | Aktabantay (GB) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Special Selection | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Power Nap | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Gambler’s Ghost | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Liberal Spin | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Metaurus | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Saratoga Wildcat | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 10 | Marble Falls | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Canarsie Kid | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Shark | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Rich ‘n’ Tuck | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Chamois | 3.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bajan Summer | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Monster Mash | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lyrical Miracle | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.