April 28, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Darkwingsoverdubai | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grizzel (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diadura | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Arch Enemy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gale Force | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beauty Phil | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Rosebud | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cry Havoc | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nineteen Sixteen | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Brew | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashinthepants | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Misty Spirit | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catch Me Baby | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just the Forest | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tallahassee | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Global Attention | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daughterofthewoods | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abogada | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Diva On a Dime | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Katy | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tres Bien | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | For U Mike | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Office in the Sky | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vanity Project | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inside Ring | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Molinaro Deputy | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iron Shore | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Milwaukee Flash | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kayez | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kinkora Heat | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prebill | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lumber Man | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foxy Phill | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Virga | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Executiveguts | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blisk | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | West L. A. Girl | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Ella | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Sidney | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bilky Bluz | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Garafraxa | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Purity | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savanna City | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wilshire Star | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expedition | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | English Classic | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Willy’s Castle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Catomine | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Secret | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arcen | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bet On Mike | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds and Roses | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bear’s Profit | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Tail | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Many Egbert’s | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Fox | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Undercover Cat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Spree | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Chato | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kitten Candy | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dupes | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Demawatchmi | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Final Offer | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncorked Spirit | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon First | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Danger Bay | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Krz | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sea of Silence | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Society | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reallylikethisone | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Zavata | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.