April 28, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tengey | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Mazzy Star | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reward the Gypsy | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ghetto Fabulous | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | African Wildcat | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fleur de Force | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capture the Sun | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mountebank | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Colony Strike | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | G R’s Giant | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rumblin Kyle | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colton’s Grand | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whiskey Sour | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Can’t Catch Me Now | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostbuster | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Forever | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Momma Doolittle | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Photo Gallery | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Undaunted Spirit | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Important | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bravucona | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | All This Jazz | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Shortys Train | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redeeming Factor | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Majorie Mugs | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disco Party | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Southern Peach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Little Lies | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassafras Springs | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scoff | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 15 | Ermine and Purrs | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Cracking Good Pins | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fortutious | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Lady From Cheyenne | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Issheit | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Funnin’ Ya | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pea Patch Point | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crisis Averted | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bust | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Sway | 12.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Start Winning | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Apollo Eleven | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Regal Expectations | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Archie’s Revenge | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shine Bright | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oriental Express | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Glory Hound | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Home | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Can He Shine | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abolitionist | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Match the Pot | 50.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Boosting | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Dance N Denae | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Workerbee | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Salute | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Starlight | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kay War | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | E Lizzy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enigma | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moral High Ground | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hedonemewrongsong | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unspoken | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Carolina Dreams | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peace Prize (IRE) | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Godlovesasinner | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spot On Fark | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clubman | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Turbo Booster | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thats My Fella | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Happy Farm | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Victory Chimes | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lil Love Machine | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leather Goods | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Spuyten Duyvil | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Alive | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chocomount | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My High Roller | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Croce d’Oro | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheyenne’s Colonel | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Siem Riep | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bombonero | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Howard | 2.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King of Night | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Hussar | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swamp Chilli | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shortlist | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Elmont | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bawlmer Hon | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banana Anna | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Terp | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emelina | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winner’s Dream | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daisy Cutter | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Understanding | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shinkansen | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Tiz Majesty | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Cherished Prize | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Nancy R | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Haunts | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chamberlin Road | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Love in Excess | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Flame | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Curie | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Hydro | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | True Determination | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notthatitmatters | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Southsidestrut | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Scarfire | 5.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Kazzie Cottonwood | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steffeloe | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tarheel Raven | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.